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03: Slow down

Biggest learning this week was to remember to slow down. Time moves faster as you get older, just slow down.


Sivers book notes: Courage to be disliked

Ton of tidbits from Ichiro Kishimi and Fumitake Koga’s book, Sivers notes are great.

Notes that stood out with my own perspective:

Meaning to experiences: we are not determined by our experiences, but by the meaning we give them.

Something doesn’t go your way, you label yourself a failure, not always true.

Anger: personal anger is nothing but a tool for making others submit to you. Anger is a form of communication, and that communication is possible without using anger.

When you’re angry, explain how you feel and ask questions, don’t shout or scream. It’s silly.

The past: no matter what has occurred in your life up to this point, it has no bearing at all on how you live from now on.

Emphasis on how you live from now on. You get to choose.

Relationships: forming good interpersonal relationships requires a certain degree of distance. You can’t read a book if you push it up against your face, nor hold it too far away.

Distance. Moderation. Balance. All of it’s needed. Be grounded, be centered.

Judgement: you see only a part of things but judge the whole.

You generalize. Got to hear both sides.

Happiness: Happiness is the feeling of contribution. If you really have a feeling of contribution, you will no longer have any need for recognition from others.

If you’re feeling down, try contributing in a positive way and you will feel better.

Change: no matter what moments you are living, or if there are people who dislike you, as long as you do not lose sight of the guiding star of I contribute to others, you will not lose your way, and you can do whatever you like.

Stats by Lopez

Michael Lopez runs data and analytics for the NFL. This series of posts is fascinating, and almost feels like an epiphany reading it.


Couple more posts are in the works for this series. Curious how this would expand to college markets, Michael gave some insight there.

Bill Connelly and Bill Walsh

This football therapy post is super interesting. It felt almost like reading Basketball on Paper. Didn’t realize Walsh wrote ins and outs of football.

Most important factors:

Importance of success rate is huge. All about down and distance:

So, if you get 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, or 100 percent on third or fourth down, it’s a successful play — and accordingly, success rate becomes an on-base percentage type of measure for football.

Want to dig in more on this post, and it changes way I watch the game.

Upside podcast with Dean Oliver

Good conversation with Dean Oliver on state of basketball analytics, and he hints a new version of Basketball on Paper is coming soon.

Some notes:

Four factors are still where it all starts. It gives the sport a framework on how to improve and what wins in the game.

There is danger in using plus/minus and lineup combinations because the amount of time players are on court together is usually not long enough. Sample size is too small. Competition plays a huge role here. You simply don’t have much data, and it’s tough to capture interactions.

If something jumps out as surprising, be careful because it could just be something random.

Models are always approximations of reality. Oliver references how he couldn’t project Steve Nash right. When you tweak a model, you improve ones you got wrong, but lose the ones you got right. A lot of intangibles are involved, qualitative data.

Steal percentage is a good indicator of who is going to be successful. Some players go for steals too much though.

Sports internet

A weekday newsletter with top stories in sports. It’s delightful to read. Feels so honest, and simple. Cool project.

Bill James

This abstracts of baseball abstracts is fun to read. So many tidbits about how to think a bit differently.


Want to read more of these summaries of the abstracts.

Also, found his post from 2017 really interesting - multiple things can be true. Controversial subject, but a lot of objectivity and common sense.

Quote that sums it up

Metaphor that made sense


No real developments working with R this week, need to explore it more with data in future.


Read all notes